Sunday Night Football: Cowboys Host Saints as Three Point Underdogs

New Orleans at Dallas +3, Total=54.5

The New Orleans Saints will look to even up their record at 2-2 when they square off against the Dallas Cowboys on the Sunday night prime time game on ABC. The Saints struggled in their first two games but broke through on the win column with a 20-9 victory over the Adrian Peterson-less Minnesota Vikins.

The Cowboys have won two straight after dropping their first game of the year. Their offense is one of the most efficient in the NFL, led by RB DeMarco Murray. Murray is leading the NFL in rushing with 75 carries for 385 yards (5.1 avg.) with three touchdowns.

Dallas holds a 15-11 edge in the all-time series, but the Saints have won eight of the last nine games between the two teams. New Orleans destroyed the Cowboys in their last matchup, a 49-17 whipping on November 10, 2013 the Superdome.

Nitrogensports.eu opened the game earlier this week at New Orleans -3, with the line currently sitting at New Orleans -3. The consensus average line using 15 different computer models is New Orleans -1.4. What do individual computer models predict? The Computer Adjusted Line has Dallas 3. Pi-Rite is Dallas 3.9. Donchess makes it Dallas -3.9. Dwiggins makes the number Dallas 1, and David/Pasteur has the line at Dallas -2.4.

New Orleans is 1-2 straight up and 1-2-0 against the line so far this year. They are averaging 26 points per game, and giving up 24 points per game on the defensive side of the ball. On offense, New Orleans is averaging 140.3 rushing yards per game on 29 attempts, 4.8 yards per carry average. They are throwing the ball 39 times per game for a total of 281 yards, averaging 6.2 yards per passing attempt. Overall, New Orleans has gained 422 total yards per game on an average of 68 plays.

On defense, New Orleans is allowing 380 yards per game on 64 plays for a 6 yards per play average. They have given up 15.8 yards per point so far this year. New Orleans’s opponents have run the ball 40% of the time, and are averaging 3.9 yards per rushing attempt. The team has allowed completions on 63.2% of its opponents’ passing attempts, good for 278 passing yards per game (7.3 yards per passing attempt).

Dallas is averaging 26 points per game so far in 2014, while allowing 23 points a game to its opponents. They have a 2-1-0 record against the spread, with a 2-1 straight up record. Defensively, Dallas’s opponents are averaging 110 rushing yards per game on 24 attempts, a 4.5 yards per carry average. They are throwing the ball 33 times per game for a total of 250.3 yards, averaging 6.3 yards per passing attempt. Overall, Dallas’s opponents have gained 360 total yards per game on an average of 57.3 plays.

On offense, Dallas is averaging 363 yards per game on 61 plays, for a 5.9 yards per play average. They are averaging 14.2 yards per point so far this year. Dallas runs the ball 52% of the time, and are averaging 4.9 yards per rushing attempt. The team has completed 67.4% of its passing attempts, good for 206.7 passing yards per game (7 yards per passing attempt).