MLB Betting: Royals Home Underdogs to Kluber, Indians

Cleveland Indians (-110) at Kansas City Royals (+102, 7.5 O/U )

The Indians, fresh off a 17 run outburst yesterday at Texas, head to Kansas City to take on division rivals Royals. The Indians are second in the Central, just two games back of Detroit. Cleveland is 9-1 over its last 10 games and averaging 6.5 runs a game during that streak. The Royals are just 3.5 games behind Detroit, good for third place in the division.

Right-hander Jason Vargas is the scheduled starter for the Royals. He has a 5-2 record in 2014 with a 3.28 ERA. Vargas worked eight strong innings at St. Louis on Wednesday, giving up just two runs on nine hits and two walks. He got a no-decision in an extra-inning loss. In only three of 13 starts has he given up more than two earned runs. Vargas cashed in his third straight quality start for the Royals, bringing his ERA down to 3.28 in the process. The veteran is stranding runners at a higher rate than any other season in his career (82.1 percent), so he’ll be prone for a shaky outing here and there. The Royals, 6-7 in his starts, have gone over 36% of the time in those starts.

His opponent on the mound will be left-hander Corey Kluber. Kluber has a 3.23 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP, and is 6-3 on the season. Kluber allowed four runs on five hits with four strikeouts and two walks in a no-decision against Boston on Wednesday. The righty has gone 4-0 with a 2.55 ERA, 64 strikeouts and 10 walks in his past seven turns. Kluber had given the Indians six straight quality starts prior to Wednesday, but was unable to keep the streak alive. His four strikeouts also represented his lowest total since all the way back on April 19. Despite the minor bump in the road, Kluber owns a 3.23 ERA on the season, and an even more impressive 2.47 FIP. The Indians are 8-5 in games started by him. Forecasts are calling for 68°F temperatures with winds blowing at 9 mph. The humidity will be around 73%. There is a 20% chance of precipitation.

Cleveland Indians versus Vargas: 30 years old left-hander, 6’0” 215 pounds. Throws: fastball, changeup, curve,

Finesse Pitcher : 2013 velocity, 87.7: 2014 velocity, 86.6: velocity over the last two weeks, 86.7

Runs per game (league ranking), 13 (4.11 per game) : Home Runs, 17 (38 HRs)

    Bat Ave, 19 (.247) : OB%, 8 (.326) : Slugging, 15 (.386)

      Walks, 4 (3.8 per game) : Strikeouts, 25 (6.8) : Stolen Bases, 12 (27 SBs)

      Last seven games, 12 (.758 OPS) : Last 14 games, 12 (.714 OPS) : Last 28 games, 4 (.764 OPS)

        Versus Righties, 6 (.756 OPS) : Versus lefties, 25 (.656 OPS)

          Home, 6 (.752 OPS) : Away, 14 (.696 OPS)

            1st Inning Production, 20 (.656 OPS)

              Facing a Power Pitcher, 8 (.721 OPS) : Facing a Finesse Pitcher, 12 (.751 OPS)

                Facing a fly ball pitcher, 6 (.771 OPS) : Facing a ground ball pitcher, 21 (.657 OPS)

                  Run Production at Night, 16 (.710 OPS) : Run Production During Day, 8 (.744 OPS)

                    First five innings, 14 (.724 OPS) : 6th to 9th Innings, 9 (.713 OPS)

                      Kansas City Royals versus Kluber: 27 years old right-hander, 6’4” 215 pounds. Throws: fastball, curve, changeup, : 2013 velocity, 93.2: 2014 velocity, 92.3: velocity over the last two weeks, 92.4

                      Runs per game (league ranking), 23 (3.91 per game) : Home Runs, 30 (20 HRs)

                        Bat Ave, 11 (.255) : OB%, 22 (.308) : Slugging, 28 (.359)

                          Walks, 23 (2.6 per game) : Strikeouts, 30 (5.5) : Stolen Bases, 6 (32 SBs)

                          Last seven games, 16 (.726 OPS) : Last 14 games, 21 (.672 OPS) : Last 28 games, 26 (.650 OPS)

                            Versus Righties, 25 (.665 OPS) : Versus lefties, 24 (.658 OPS)

                              Home, 27 (.661 OPS) : Away, 24 (.664 OPS)

                                1st Inning Production, 28 (.563 OPS)

                                  Facing a Power Pitcher, 20 (.656 OPS) : Facing a Finesse Pitcher, 27 (.669 OPS)

                                    Facing a fly ball pitcher, 24 (.678 OPS) : Facing a ground ball pitcher, 21 (.657 OPS)

                                      Run Production at Night, 28 (.661 OPS) : Run Production During Day, 20 (.665 OPS)

                                        First five innings, 24 (.684 OPS) : 6th to 9th Innings, 30 (.614 OPS)