Betting Baseball: Cardinals Head to Miami to Take On the Marlins

St. Louis Cardinals (-141) at Miami Marlins (+130, 7.5 O/U )

The worst meeting the best. The Miami Marlins, owners of the worst record in baseball at 19-46, welcome the team with the best record in the St. Louis Cardinals (43-23). Right-hander Jose Fernandez is the scheduled starter for the Marlins. He has a 6-6 record in 2013 with a 3.00 ERA. Fernandez added another great chapter to his stellar rookie season, giving up one run on three hits and striking out seven in six innings against the Mets on June 8. He has notched back-to-back quality starts. The have gone over the total in 55% of his starts.

His opponent on the mound will be right-hander Jake Westbrook. Westbrook has a 1.62 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP, and is 2-1 on the season. Westbrook will come off the DL to make his first start since May 8. After inflammation in his right elbow subsided, he made a pair of rehab starts in the Minors. He should be able to throw as many as 100 pitches, if needed. He gave up two runs over 10 2-3 innings, walking none and striking out 10, in two rehab starts for Double-A Springfield.

“I’ve always had elbow issues and I pitched through a lot of it,” Westbrook told MLB.com. “I think I’m always going to have something, some sort of feeling in there that’s not normal.
“I feel really good right now. I feel really good with the two starts I’ve had. I feel really encouraged about getting up and down seven times on Sunday, and hopefully it continues to feel that way throughout the year.”

The Cardinals are 3-3 in games started by him, and have gone over 83% of those games. The game time temperature will be 84°F with winds blowing _ at 7 mph. The humidity will be around 69%. There is a 40% chance of precipitation.

St. Louis Cardinals versus Fernandez: 20 years old right-hander, 6’3” 215 pounds. Throws: fastball, curve, changeup, slider

Power Pitcher

Runs per game (league ranking), 10: Home Runs, 24: Bat Ave, 15: OB%, 20: Slugging, 26

    Walks, 26: Strikeouts, 24: Stolen Bases, 28

    Last seven games, 6: Last 14 games, 7: Last 28 games, 7

      Versus Righties, 8: Versus lefties, 28

        Home, 16: Away, 9

          1st Inning Production, 16

            Facing a Power Pitcher, 18: Facing a Finesse Pitcher, 9

              Facing a fly ball pitcher, 23: Facing a ground ball pitcher, 9

                Run Production at Night, 9: Run Production During Day, 16

                  First five innings, 16: 6th to 9th Innings, 8

                    Miami Marlins versus Westbrook: 35 years old right-hander, 6’3” 215 pounds. Throws: fastball, splitter, cutter, slider

                    Runs per game (league ranking), 30: Home Runs, 30: Bat Ave, 29: OB%, 29: Slugging, 30

                      Walks, 27: Strikeouts, 22: Stolen Bases, 14

                      Last seven games, 29: Last 14 games, 30: Last 28 games, 30

                        Versus Righties, 30: Versus lefties, 29

                          Home, 30: Away, 29

                            1st Inning Production, 29

                              Facing a Power Pitcher, 30: Facing a Finesse Pitcher, 30

                                Facing a fly ball pitcher, 30: Facing a ground ball pitcher, 9

                                  Run Production at Night, 30: Run Production During Day, 29

                                    First five innings, 30: 6th to 9th Innings, 30

                                      Betting Baseball: Reds Take On Cubs as Small Road Favorites

                                      Cincinnati Reds (-126) at Chicago Cubs (+116, 7 O/U )

                                      Did the Cubs stay up all night watching the Blackhawks win the first game of the Stanley Cup finals last night? That’s could be a question, especially considering it is big hockey fan Jeff Samardzija starting for Chicago today. Right-hander Mat Latos takes the mound for the Cincinnati Reds today. He is 6-0 on the year with a 2.87 ERA. In 20 starts since an 8-5 loss to the the Cardinals on Aug. 24, 2012, Latos has gone 10-0 with a 2.65 ERA. His streak of 20 straight regular-season starts without a loss is a Reds record. The Reds, 10-3 in his starts, have gone over 69% of the time in those starts. Samardzija has a 4-9 record so far in 2013. He fell behind in the count a lot against the Pirates in his last start, lasting six innings before exiting. He gave up four earned runs, snapping a streak of 10 straight starts at Wrigley in which he allowed three or fewer. The Cubs have gone over the total in 50% of his starts. The game time temperature will be 69° F with winds blowing in from center field at 15 mph. The humidity will be around 57%. No rain is expected in this game.

                                      Cincinnati Reds versus Samardzija: 28 years old right-hander, 6’5” 225 pounds. Throws: fastball, slider, splitter, cutter

                                      Ground Ball, Power Pitcher

                                      Runs per game (league ranking), 13: Home Runs, 21: Bat Ave, 21: OB%, 10: Slugging, 25

                                        Walks, 3: Strikeouts, 7: Stolen Bases, 28

                                        Last seven games, 8: Last 14 games, 5: Last 28 games, 6

                                          Versus Righties, 15: Versus lefties, 6

                                            Home, 8: Away, 19

                                              1st Inning Production, 14

                                                Facing a Power Pitcher, 2: Facing a Finesse Pitcher, 17

                                                  Facing a fly ball pitcher, 6: Facing a ground ball pitcher, 9

                                                    Run Production at Night, 17: Run Production During Day, 4

                                                      First five innings, 14: 6th to 9th Innings, 2

                                                        Chicago Cubs versus Latos: 25 years old right-hander, 6’6” 225 pounds. Throws: fastball, slider, curve, changeup

                                                        Runs per game (league ranking), 26: Home Runs, 3: Bat Ave, 25: OB%, 27: Slugging, 9

                                                          Walks, 29: Strikeouts, 17: Stolen Bases, 3

                                                          Last seven games, 9: Last 14 games, 21: Last 28 games, 15

                                                            Versus Righties, 16: Versus lefties, 22

                                                              Home, 3: Away, 30

                                                                1st Inning Production, 21

                                                                  Facing a Power Pitcher, 14: Facing a Finesse Pitcher, 16

                                                                    Facing a fly ball pitcher, 9: Facing a ground ball pitcher, 9

                                                                      Run Production at Night, 16: Run Production During Day, 19

                                                                        First five innings, 18: 6th to 9th Innings, 14

                                                                          Auburn Basketball Player Charged with Point Shaving

                                                                          Former Auburn guard Varez Ward has been indicted on bribery and conspiracy to defraud for shaving points in 2012. In an indictment released last week, Ward is alleged to have conspired with others to bribe or solicit one or more individuals to influence a sporting contest, in violation of Title 18, United States Code, Section 371.

                                                                          Auburn has not commented on this case. The NCAA, however, released this statement:

                                                                          “We are very concerned by the point-shaving allegations involving Auburn University men’s basketball program and have been in contact with the school and the FBI since the issue arose in February. The NCAA takes any allegation of point shaving very seriously because sports wagering threatens two of our core principles — the well-being of student-athletes and the very integrity of intercollegiate sport. As allegations of point shaving, if proven, are also potential federal crimes, the NCAA will defer action until any process with the FBI has concluded.”

                                                                          Ward, a transfer from Texas, played in 27 games for Auburn in 2012. He was suspended prior to a February 25 game against Arkansas after rumors began circulating about an FBI investigation involving game fixing.

                                                                          It is unclear what games were allegedly fixed. Auburn had covered 10 of its previous twelve games, going back to a January 11th game against Kentucky.

                                                                          One of the two losses against the spread was the January 28th game at Tennessee. Auburn, 8.5 point underdogs, lost 64-49 to the Volunteers. Ward hit 3 of 9 shots from the field in that game and went 6-8 from the free throw line.

                                                                          The Tigers also failed to cover in a February 7th game against Alabama. Auburn lost 68-50 at home as five point underdogs. Ward turned the ball over a season high six times, and was 1-5 from the field.

                                                                          Ward started sixteen games for Auburn in 2012. He lost his starting job on January 17th, coming off the bench until his suspension.