Betting the Pucks: Pittsburgh Opens -175 Favorites against the Flyers

Philadelphia Flyers (+144) at the Pittsburgh Penguins (-156) Total: 5.5

On Wednesday, the 11-5-0-0 Pittsburgh Penguins will match up at home in the Consol Energy Center against the 7-9-0-1 Philadelphia Flyers, currently in fourth place in the Atlantic division. This will be the second meeting between the two teams. In the season opener Pittsburgh beat the Flyers 3-1 on goals from Tyler Kennedy, James Neal and Chris Kunitz. Philadelphia won its last time out, thrashing the New York Ilsnaders 7-0 on Monday.The Flyers have scored 2.6 goals per game away from home in 2013 while giving up 3.2 goals to its opponents, enough to earn Philadelphia a 3-8-0 record away from the Wells Fargo Center. Philadelphia is averaging 27.5 shots per game as visitors, and allowing 26.8 shots to its opponents. The Flyers have gone under in 59% of its games this year. They have been struggling on offense this year; Philadelphia has scored just 2.65 goals per game this season compared to 3.2 goals per game last season. Their biggest problem has been injuries. The Flyers have no fewer than five players, including top-line winger Scott Hartnell and defenseman Andrej Meszaros, on injured reserve.

Sidney Crosby will once again lead the Penguins attack. Crosby enters tonight’s game with 24 points, second in the league in scoring. He has recorded 17 assists, tied for the league lead. His plus-minus rating of plus 11 is fourth in the NHL this season. Pittsburgh is 3-3-0 at home so far this year, scoring 3 goals a game while giving up 2.8 goals per game. They are averaging 30 shots on goal at home, with a 10% shot success rate. On defense, the Penguins have allowed 23.5 shots on goal for a 12% shot success rate Pittsburgh is 8-2-0 in its last 10 games, with a goal differential of 14 goals so far this season. Pittsburgh has gone over in 56% of its games in 2013. Goalie Marc-Andre Fleury, who turned aside 26 shots in the season opener, has given up two or fewer goals in seven of 11 starts in 2013. Expect a solid game from Hart Trophy winner Evgeni Malkin, who had an assist in the opener, has 53 points (20 goals, 33 assists) in 37 career games versus the Flyers.


Trends for tonight’s games:


The Flyers are 3-11 in their last 14 road games.
The Flyers are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.

Pittsburgh is 40-13 in their last 53 vs. a team with a losing record.
The Penguins are 22-8 in their last 30 home games.
The Penguins are 47-20 in their last 67 games playing on 2 days rest.


Total trends:
Over is 5-1-1 in the Flyers last 7 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Pittsburgh’s last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.
Over is 8-0 in Pitttsburgh’s last 8 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.