Betting Baseball: Underdog Arizona, Cahill Take on Cincinnati on Getaway Day

Arizona Diamondbacks (+156) at Cincinnati Reds (-170, 8 O/U )

Arizona’s race for the final wild-card slot to a blow when the Diamondbacks lost to the Reds 10-7 last night, but will get one final shot at Cincinnati on Thursday afternoon. Arizona is six games behind the Reds for the second wild card spot. Right-hander Trevor Cahill takes the mound for the Diamondbacks. He is 4-10 on the year with a 4.78 ERA. Cahill, just off the DL, allowed four runs in five innings against the Pirates last time out. “I didn’t pitch great, but we won, so I’m just going to use that as positive and look at some video and work on some stuff,” Cahill, who went 0-6 with a 7.91 ERA over his previous eight starts, said.

The Cincinnati Reds will send right-hander Mat Latos out as their starter; he has a 12-4 record so far in 2013. Latos was the tough-luck loser in a 2-0 loss against the Brewers on Saturday after giving up two runs in seven innings. “That’s just the way the game goes,” said Latos, who allowed both runs in the fourth inning of his last start. “Two runs will beat you on any given day.” In seven career starts against the D-backs, Latos is 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA, including a June 23 gem against them this season. The game time temperature will be 83°F with winds blowing out at 7 mph. The humidity will be around 65%. There is a 10% chance of precipitation.

Arizona Diamondbacks versus Latos: 25 years old right-hander, 6’6” 225 pounds. Throws: fastball, slider, curve, changeup

Power Pitcher

Runs per game (league ranking), 14 (4.32 per game) : Home Runs, 14 (29 HRs)

    Bat Ave, 14 (.251) : OB%, 18 (.312) : Slugging, 15 (.403)

      Walks, 13 (3.1 per game) : Strikeouts, 16 (7.6) : Stolen Bases, 27 (9 SBs)

      Last seven games, 10 (.736 OPS) : Last 14 games, 2 (.796 OPS) : Last 28 games, 2 (.775 OPS)

        Versus Righties, 15 (.715 OPS) : Versus lefties, 9 (.720 OPS)

          Home, 12 (.735 OPS) : Away, 17 (.700 OPS)

            1st Inning Production, 8 (.774 OPS)

              Facing a Power Pitcher, 6 (.712 OPS) : Facing a Finesse Pitcher, 12 (.750 OPS)

                Facing a fly ball pitcher, 6 (.758 OPS) : Facing a ground ball pitcher, 9 (.733 OPS)

                  Run Production at Night, 12 (.728 OPS) : Run Production During Day, 19 (.689 OPS)

                    First five innings, 21 (.704 OPS) : 6th to 9th Innings, 3 (.733 OPS)

                      Cincinnati Reds versus Cahill: 25 years old right-hander, 6’4” 225 pounds. Throws: fastball, slider, changeup, curve

                      Ground Ball Pitcher

                      Runs per game (league ranking), 13 (4.41 per game) : Home Runs, 21 (27 HRs)

                        Bat Ave, 21 (.243) : OB%, 10 (.325) : Slugging, 25 (.377)

                          Walks, 3 (3.8 per game) : Strikeouts, 7 (8) : Stolen Bases, 28 (8 SBs)

                          Last seven games, 24 (.659 OPS) : Last 14 games, 28 (.641 OPS) : Last 28 games, 27 (.660 OPS)

                            Versus Righties, 14 (.716 OPS) : Versus lefties, 15 (.708 OPS)

                              Home, 15 (.729 OPS) : Away, 17 (.700 OPS)

                                1st Inning Production, 6 (.808 OPS)

                                  Facing a Power Pitcher, 14 (.674 OPS) : Facing a Finesse Pitcher, 22 (.733 OPS)

                                    Facing a fly ball pitcher, 9 (.748 OPS) : Facing a ground ball pitcher, 9 (.733 OPS)

                                      Run Production at Night, 15 (.723 OPS) : Run Production During Day, 15 (.699 OPS)

                                        First five innings, 9 (.747 OPS) : 6th to 9th Innings, 27 (.666 OPS)