Betting Baseball: Rangers Go for Sweep Against Lowly Astros

Houston Astros (+258) at Texas Rangers (-285, 9 O/U )

If the Texas Rangers win the West, they will be able to thank the Houston Astros. The first year of inter-division play between the two Texas teams has been a beatdown; the Rangers have won thirteen of the fifteen matchups this year and are looking for the sweep tonight in Arlington.

Left-hander Erik Bedard takes the mound tonight for the road team Astros. He is 3-9 on the year with a 4.67 ERA. The veteran lefty is looking for his first win since June 26. He’s 0-6 with a 4.57 ERA in his last eight starts, although his poor run support gets part of the blame. The Astros have scored just 14 runs in his last eight starts. The Astros are 6-16 in games started by him.

The Texas Rangers will send left-hander Derek Holland out as their starter; he has a 9-6 record so far in 2013. Holland had his third start this season of seven or more innings with two hits allowed or fewer Friday against the Mariners. He hasn’t won at home over his past seven starts. The left-hander has received two runs or fewer of support in nine starts. “I know they are doing everything they can,” Holland said. “That’s the way baseball is. You’ve just got to take the runs when they come. There may be nights when I don’t get past the third inning and they score 60 runs.”

The Rangers, 16-9 in his starts, have gone over 42% of the time in those starts. The game time temperature will be 91°F with winds blowing in from right field at 7 mph. The humidity will be around 36%. No rain is expected in this game.

Houston Astros versus Holland: 26 years old left-hander, 6’2” 195 pounds. Throws: fastball, slider, changeup, curve

Runs per game (league ranking), 21 (4.07 per game) : Home Runs, 14 (29 HRs)

    Bat Ave, 13 (.252) : OB%, 23 (.310) : Slugging, 11 (.407)

      Walks, 24 (2.7 per game) : Strikeouts, 1 (10.1) : Stolen Bases, 20 (12 SBs)

      Last seven games, 6 (.775 OPS) : Last 14 games, 12 (.731 OPS) : Last 28 games, 18 (.702 OPS)

        Versus Righties, 29 (.670 OPS) : Versus lefties, 18 (.695 OPS)

          Home, 28 (.671 OPS) : Away, 24 (.682 OPS)

            1st Inning Production, 29 (.626 OPS)

              Facing a Power Pitcher, 25 (.603 OPS) : Facing a Finesse Pitcher, 12 (.750 OPS)

                Facing a fly ball pitcher, 19 (.712 OPS) : Facing a ground ball pitcher, 9 (.733 OPS)

                  Run Production at Night, 17 (.704 OPS) : Run Production During Day, 30 (.613 OPS)

                    First five innings, 26 (.685 OPS) : 6th to 9th Innings, 28 (.666 OPS)

                      Texas Rangers versus Bedard: 34 years old left-hander, 6’1” 200 pounds. Throws: fastball, changeup, curve, cutter

                      Fly Ball Pitcher

                      Runs per game (league ranking), 14 (4.32 per game) : Home Runs, 11 (32 HRs)

                        Bat Ave, 10 (.257) : OB%, 7 (.327) : Slugging, 7 (.420)

                          Walks, 9 (3.2 per game) : Strikeouts, 30 (6) : Stolen Bases, 17 (13 SBs)

                          Last seven games, 25 (.637 OPS) : Last 14 games, 16 (.717 OPS) : Last 28 games, 8 (.728 OPS)

                            Versus Righties, 11 (.734 OPS) : Versus lefties, 4 (.739 OPS)

                              Home, 7 (.757 OPS) : Away, 10 (.715 OPS)

                                1st Inning Production, 30 (.594 OPS)

                                  Facing a Power Pitcher, 4 (.737 OPS) : Facing a Finesse Pitcher, 18 (.738 OPS)

                                    Facing a fly ball pitcher, 15 (.719 OPS) : Facing a ground ball pitcher, 9 (.733 OPS)

                                      Run Production at Night, 4 (.764 OPS) : Run Production During Day, 29 (.662 OPS)

                                        First five innings, 11 (.738 OPS) : 6th to 9th Innings, 4 (.729 OPS)