Betting Baseball: Greinke and the Dodgers take on Milwaukee as Road Favorites

Los Angeles Dodgers (-134) at Milwaukee Brewers (+124, 8.5 O/U )

Hard-luck right-hander Zack Greinke takes the mound tonight for the Los Angeles Dodgers. He is 2-0 on the year with a 1.62 ERA, after missing a good chunk of the early season due to his broken collarbone. The only problem with Greinke’s first start back after undergoing collarbone surgery was that he ran out of gas after allowing one run in 5 1/3 innings. Greinke threw his regular bullpen session Saturday and seems fine physically. The Dodgers are 3-0 in games started by him, and have gone under in all three of those games.

The Brewers will send right-hander Hiram Burgos out as their starter; he has a 1-4 record so far in 2013. Burgos has been effective in each of his two starts at Miller Park, holding opponents to a .205 average with seven strikeouts and only one walk. He left both games (vs. the Cubs on April 20 and the Bucs on May 1) in line for the win. The Brewers have gone over the total in 75% of his starts. Forecasts are calling for 73°F temperatures with winds blowing  lightly at 9 mph. The humidity will be around 59%. There is a 30% chance of precipitation, so expect the roof to be closed in Milwaukee.

Los Angeles Dodgers versus Burgos: 25 years old right-hander, 6’1” 210 pounds. Throws: fastball, curve, changeup, cutter

Runs per game, 29: Home Runs, 26: Bat Ave, 15: OB%, 7: Slugging, 28

Walks, 7: Strikeouts, 25: Stolen Bases, 23

Last seven games, 19: Last 14 games, 25: Last 28 games, 19

Versus Righties, 29: Versus lefties, 5

Home, 28: Away, 9

1st Inning Production, 10

Facing a Power Pitcher, 14: Facing a Finesse Pitcher, 29

Facing a fly ball pitcher, 9: Facing a ground ball pitcher, 13

Run Production at Night, 24: Run Production During Day, 17

First five innings, 19: 6th to 9th Innings, 24

Milwaukee Brewers versus Greinke: 29 years old right-hander, 6’2” 190 pounds. Throws: fastball, cutter, slider

Runs per game, 8: Home Runs, 7: Bat Ave, 10: OB%, 12: Slugging, 5

Walks, 22: Strikeouts, 15: Stolen Bases, 1

Last seven games, 2: Last 14 games, 8: Last 28 games, 7

Versus Righties, 17: Versus lefties, 1

Home, 5: Away, 26

1st Inning Production, 4

Facing a Power Pitcher, 18: Facing a Finesse Pitcher, 7

Facing a fly ball pitcher, 19: Facing a ground ball pitcher, 13

Run Production at Night, 8: Run Production During Day, 20

First five innings, 6: 6th to 9th Innings, 17